Market  Conditions

These are the kinds of markets that every investor and trader is searching for.  Currently the market is in a   "Confirmed Uptrend".   We have only 7   "Distribution Days"   between the  $NASDAQ  and   $SPY.  I had highlighted in my previous posts that November and December are traditionally the best performing months of the year.  Retail investors and traders should have been 100%  in the market as of beginning of October.  Here are my projections for the year end for the 3 major indexes and the leading Technology Sector:

• $SPY  ... 265
• $DJI    ... 24,100
• $QQQ ... 162
• $XLK   ... 67

Performance  of  My  Stocks

I am a Growth Stock Investor and as such I  TIME  the market.  July 12th was a signal to me to start building my positions in stocks gradually.  By the end of September, we had a very clear signal that the market was reaching higher highs and higher lows.  That was a bullish sign to start concentrating stock positions into the leading stocks and harvesting profits from the laggards.  Technology Sector was clearly the leading sector at that time.  With my rules of trading Growth Stocks, the only stocks to buy are the leading stocks in the leading sector.  They offer the best chance of   Out Performing the market.   Here are the results of the  19 stock positions currently.  I have indicated in parenthesis, the date and the price the stock was purchased.

1. $VMW ...   (8/18 ...  $ 95.75)   + 29.73%
2. $CRM  ...   (8/28 ...  $ 93.00)   +15.22%
3. $CDNS  ... (8/29 ...  $ 37.50)   + 21.60%
4. $RHT    ... (8/29 ...  $105.00)   + 22.25%
5. $ALGN ... (8/30 ...  $173.00)   + 47.26%
6. $PYPL  ... (8/31  ... $ 61.30)    + 28.17%
7. $IPGP   ... (8/31  ... $170.39)   + 42.06%
8. $ASML ... (9/1   ... $ 156.50)   + 19.09%
9. $MA     ...  (9/1   ... $ 133.30)   + 14.58%
10. $ANET ... (9/1   ...  $176.00 )   + 37.53%
11. $YY     ...  (9/5   ...  $ 74.50  )   + 61.11%
12. $OLED ... (9/6   ...  $ 129.00)   + 48.02%
13. $CGNX ... (9/22 ... $ 111.80)   + 29.14%
14. $CTRL  ... (9/25 ... $ 27. 50)    + 30.04% 
15. $NVDA ... (9/25 ... $ 170.20)   + 24.12%
16. $LRCX  ... (9/25 ... $ 171.00)   + 26.80%
17. $AMAT ... (9/28 ... $  48. 85)   + 18.55%
18. $PYPL ...  (10/24 ... $ 70.00)   + 12.24% (Second position)
19. $RHT   ...  (11/6   ... $121.22)  + 5.89%

Average performance of these 19 stocks is  +28.07%  for stocks that are held in the last 14 weeks.  The performance of the leading index  $QQQ  in the same time frame has been  + 10.64%  and the leading Technology Sector  $XLK has been  +13.02%.   These 19 stocks have  Out Performed  the leading index and the leading sector by at least two times.

Mentoring  Program

Would you like to learn:

• How to   "TIME"   the market?
• How to Identify the Leading Stocks in the Leading Sector?
• How to  Plan your Trade for Profit, Loss and Time in the trade?
• How to Manage your Stocks to  "Out Perform the Market"
• How to Mitigate   "RISK"  with your stocks?

Schedule a  FREE  30  minutes of   "Discovery Call"   with us to see how best our individualized program can make you a profitable investor.  We have a limited number of spots for December.  Don't procrastinate and be left behind.  You have already missed  Outperforming the Markets  in the last 12 months.  Don't procrastinate and Learn from the best in the business.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com

Happy Trading!

Amin

Happy  Thanksgiving

Every year at this time of the year, we all take stock of the blessings that has been bestowed upon us.  It is the time of the year we offer our gratitude for being blessed with a wonderful family, prosperity with our jobs and career and profitable returns on our investments in our retirement funds.  We are experiencing the best of the times in the stock market.  There is always going to be political turmoil in the world, spread of deadly diseases, poverty and environmental pollution.  The world has however become a better place.  More people in the world are prospering, having an access to better healthcare, getting educated and living a good life.  More people in the world have gotten out of poverty in the last 20 years than ever before in our human history.  I would personally like to offer a very special gratitude this Thanksgiving Holidays for sharing your comments on how my posts have helped you get an insight into the market and profit from it.

Market  Performance

We have been in a secular bull market as of Nov 8th 2016   "Follow Thru"  day.  It is a world wide event and not just a US stock market phenomenon.  Here are the year to date results of the best performing markets in the world as compared to the US markets.

• South Korea ... +43%
• India            ...   +35%
• China          ...   +33%
• Hong King  ...   +31%
• USA            ...   +30% Leading Growth Index $QQQ
• $XLK          ...   +31% Leading Technology Sector.

Trades  of  the  Week

Currently we have  9  distribution days.  Market is in a confirmed uptrend and it has been consolidating the gains for the last 4 weeks.  Thanksgiving week will be a short week with markets being closed on Thursday.  Friday would be a light volume day.  This week it would be a good idea to review your trailing stops and adjust them before market opens on Monday.  Here are the  2  stock trades that I am considering for this week.

1. $RHT   ... Entry $122.43   Profit Exit ... $134.68   Loss Exit ... $116.31  (Add on position)
2. $MFGP... Entry $  34.15   Profit Exit ... $  37.57   Loss Exit ... $  32.29  (New Position)

Mentoring  Program

Would you like to learn:

• How to go about selecting the right Winning Growth Stock? 
• How to Buy the Stock Right?
• How to Sell the Stock Right?
• How to Plan Your Trade?
• 
  

Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of   "Discovery Call"   with us to see how best our individualized program can make you a profitable investor.  We have a limited number of spots for December.  Don't procrastinate and be left behind while the market continues to move forward.  

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com

Happy Trading!

Amin

 

"Follow  Thru"  Day

Can you  TIME  the market? 

ABSOLUTELY

We had a  "Follow Thru"  day on November 8th 2016 which is a signal that tells us that the new bull market has begun.  This is the day when according to Mr. William J. O'Neil (founder of Investors Business Daily) one must start buying the leading high rated growth stocks.  This is the day that the market status changed to a  "Confirmed Uptrend".  Its like a Green light to the retail investors to start deploying their cash into quality stocks.  Highly rated stocks break out of their bases and they rise rapidly within days from their 50 day sma (simple moving averages) to 10 day sma.   

Every bull market starts with a  "Follow Thru"  day.   Not every  "Follow Thru"  day triggers a new bull market though.  However, no bull market has occurred without a  "Follow Thru"  day.  On Friday Sept 9th, we had a major   "distribution day"   when the 3 major indexes   $SPY, $QQQ  and  $DJI  traded below their  50 day sma.  Market status changed to  Market in Correction.  This was the signal to go into  CASH  and to preserve the capital from eroding.  Within 4 weeks, the market changed on Wednesday Nov 9th and those that knew how to  TIME  the market, were rewarded handsomely by outperforming the market.

Market  Results 

Its exactly a year since we entered the new bull market on Nov 8th 2016.  Here are the results of the performance of the 3 major indexex as well as the performance of all the 9 major sectors of the US stock market:

Major Indexes

1. $SPY ...  +20.81%  
2. $DJI   ...  +28.50% 
3. $QQQ  ...+31.40%

Major Sectors

1. $XLK   ... +34%      (Technology Sector)
2. $XLF   ... +32%      (Financial Sector)
3. $XLB   ... +24.08% (Materials Sector)
4. $XLI   ...  +23.70% (Industrial Sector)
5. $XLV  ...  +19.25% (Health Care Sector)
6. $XLY  ...  +16.49% (Consumer Discretionary Sector)
7. $XLU  ... +13.20%  (Utilities Sector)
8. $XLE  ... +1.21%    (Energy Sector)
9. $XLP  ... +0.87%    (Consumer Staples)

Technology was the leading sector for the last 12 months.  17  of the  21  stocks that I had highlighted in my post last week, were in the Technology Sector.  As a retail investor of growth Stocks, one must identify the leading stocks in the leading sector to  Out Perform the Market.

Mentoring  Program

You have seen the results of all the trades and stocks that I have shared with you for the past year.  I consistently Outperform the Market every month.  Retail investor are much more nimble than the institutional investors like hedge funds or mutual funds.  Retail investors that study the markets ought to do better than the institutional investors. 

Would you like to learn:

• How to  TIME  the market?
• How to read the signals that the market gives you so you can mitigate losses?
• How to identify leading Growth Stocks in the leading Sector?
• How to create a Trade Plan for Loss Exit, Profit Exit and the Time in the Trade Exit?
• How to enter into a stock position with a Low Risk?  

Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see if you qualify for our program.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com

There are limited spots for the class.  Don't procrastinate and take action now by contacting us.  Invest in yourself and take control of your financial future.

Happy Trading!

AMIN

Market  Conditions

Market continues to be in a bullish mode.  If you are not fully invested in the market than you are missing out on profiting from it.  I still hear traders expressing opinions that the market is topping out and climaxing.  I analyse the market every weekend and the data reflects that we continue to get higher highs and higher lows on the major indexes.  June through September are traditionally the worst months of the year.  Looking at the history over the past 50 years,  $SPY (a barometer for the general market) has delivered  -0.03%.   This year however, it was  +4.06%   This trend has continued for the month of October as well.  The performance of the major indexes for October and the leading Technology Sector is as follows:

• $SPY    ... +2.36%
• $DJI     ...  +4.35%
• $QQQ   ... +4.61%
• $XLK    ...  +7.43%

In order to outperform the general market one must identify the leading stocks in the leading sector.  One must take a position in these stocks by timimg the market.  YES ... You can time the market.  According to  Mr William J. O'Neil (Founder of Investors Business Daily),  he suggests that   "One must buy something on a  Follow Thru Day".   We had a confirmation signal in mid May that gave us a signal to be involved in the market regardless of what the historical data suggested that it wasn't a good time to get in the market.  We had a similar signal on  Feb 16th  and again on  July 1st  and Nov 8th. 

Performance  of  My  21  Stocks

Currently I am  90%  invested in the market.  We are heading into the best 2 months of the year.  Most of the  S&P 500 companies have reported their earnings and we are heading into the tail end of the 3rd quarter earnings season.  This is the time to close out the position on the laggards and harvest profits in stocks that have attained  +15%  or more in profits.  One must have some cash available right now to either add to the position that are profitable and trending along the 8 day ema (exponential moving average)  or to invest in a new position that is approaching its buy area.  Here are the results:

1. $LMT   ...  + 1.64% (8/29)
2. $RTN   ...  + 2.05% (8/29)
3. $FOXF  ... + 4.62% (8/25)
4. $MNST  ... + 4.85% (8/28)
5. $PAYC  ...  + 7.05% (9/18)
6. $MRCY  ... + 9.06% (8/28)
7. $CRM   ... + 10.44% (8/28)
8. $MA    ...   + 12.00% (9/1)
9. $CI    ...     + 12.48% (8/30)
10. $AMAT   ...+ 15.67% (9/28)
11. $CTRL   ...+ 16.45% (9/25)
12. $CDNS  ...+ 17.07% (8/29)
13. $ASML   ...+ 17.94% (9/1)
14. $CGNX  ...+ 18.86% (9/22)
15. $PYPL  ... + 19.73% (8/31)
16. $LRCX  ... + 21.10% (9/25)
17. $YY      ...  + 21.49% (9/5)
18. $OLED  ... + 22.56% (9/6)
19. $VMW  ...  + 23.17% (8/18)
20. $IPGP   ... + 25.51% (8/31)
21. $ALGN   ...+ 39.11% (8/28)

Average gain for these stocks is  +15.37%.  I have indicated in parenthesis the date that the position was initiated.  Most of these stocks have been  held for  5  to  10  weeks.  

Mentoring  Program

Question you should all be asking your hedge fund managers and mutual funds that you are invested in is:

1. Has your portfolio performed as well as mine and if not why not?
2. Did your portfolio outperform the market by twice as much during the June to September period?

You all know the answer to that.  Take control of your portfolio and learn to invest yourself to outperform the market.  $QQQ  the leading index has already performed  +33%  in the last 12 months.  My 21 stocks performed   +15.37%   (80% annualized)  in less than 10 weeks. 

Schedule a  FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see how best our individualized program can make you a profitable investor.  Just a few spots are left for new students.  Don't procrastinate and be left behind.  What are you waiting for?  Don't be left behind while the market continues to move forward.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com

 

Happy Trading!

Amin

   

  

Bulls  Are  In  Charge

I have been expressing a bullish view for the market since the beginning of this year.  There has not been a major correction or any significant pull back in the market, since the beginning of this year.  The only significant retracement on the major indexes we have experienced was during the 4 weeks from June 8th to July 6th.  $QQQ  had retraced  -5%   but it bounced right back after mid July.  We continue to witness higher highs and higher lows on all the 3 major indexes that I monitor every week.  My upper range target for the  $QQQ  that I posted last week was  151  and we managed to finish the week at  151.24    

October is traditionally the start of our best performing quarter of the year.  This is the quarter that retail investors ought to stay engaged with the market.  There are lot of growth stocks that are continuing to break out during this 3rd quarter earnings report.  Here are the results of the the 3 major indexes and the leading sector performance for the last 4 weeks since Sept 29th:

• $SPY    ... +2.58%
• $QQQ  ...  +3.98%
• $DJI     ...  +4.59%
• $XLF   ...   +3.56% (Financial Sector)
• $XLU   ...   +3.77% (Utility Sector)
• $XLB   ...   +4.08% (Materials Sector)
• $XLK   ...   +5.82% (Technology Sector)

Retail investors and traders should continue looking for Growth Stocks in the Technology Sector.  Year to date performance for this sector has been  +30%.  Being in the leading sector is the way to outperform the general market as measured by  $SPY  which has been  +15.29%  year to date.

Results  of  Stocks  on  Watch  List  From  Last  Week

I had highlighted  8  Growth Stocks  in my post last week that were the leading stocks in the leading sectors.  7  of these stocks were up for the week but there was one that took a deep dive of  - 12.41%  last week.  It was a Biopharma  stock.  It gapped down on Tuesday in volume that was  3  times the normal average daily volume.  Trailing stops that I had at  - 5%  loss did not trigger since the stock never traded at the trigger price.  Biopharma stocks tend to be very volatile.  One of the strategies to utilize when trading and investing in volatile Growth Stocks is to limit the size of the position to   20%  to  30%  of the initial position, until the stock proves itself.  Overall, for all the 8  stocks - 7 winning stocks and 1 losing stock - the performance was  +2.63  (+136%  annualized)

1. $NVR   ... +0.53%
2. $NOW  ... +0.73%
3. $CRM   ... +1.82%
4. $SHW   ... +1.95%
5. $DVMT  ...+1.99%
6. $TXN    ... +2.44%
7. $LGIH   ... +5.58%
8. $IONS   ... -12.41%

Mentoring  Program

Would you like to learn:

• How to consistently select the winning Growth Stocks?
• How to Buy the Stock Right?
• How to Sell the Stock Right?
• How to minimize and mitigate the Risk?
• How to Plan Your Trade?

Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see how best our individualized program can make you a profitable investor.  Only a few spots are left for November.  What are you waiting for?  Don't be left behind while the market moves forward.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com 

Happy Trading!

Amin

Market  Outlook  Week  of    Oct  23  to  Oct  27

I still have a bullish outlook for the market.  Retail traders and investors should be  100%  invested in the stock market by now.  Currently we have only 4  "distribution days"   between the two major indexes of   $NASDAQ   and   $SPY.  Market has been in a  "Confirmed Uptrend"   and the condition of the market is healthy.  On  the 30th anniversary of the market crash of 1987 on Thursday Oct 19th,  there was some heavy selling but the institutions kept all the 3 indexes -  $SPY,  $NASDAQ   and  $DJI  above the 8 day ema(exponential moving average).  The following day on Friday, the institutions came in as buyers and all the 3 indexes finished above the 8 day ema.  My upper range target for the   $DJI  that I posted last week was  23,300  and we managed to finish the week  at  23,328.60.  

$SPY  and  $DJI  have been trending along the 8 day ema for the last 6 weeks.  We have not had any major retracements down to the 34 day ema for the last 6 weeks.  This week we are having some names in the Transport Sector, $AAL, $ALK, $SAVE, $LUV, $ALK, $UPS, $UNP and the Defense Sector, $BA,$GD,$NOC,LMT as well as the depressed Energy Sector, $HAL,$COP,$XOM and $CVX reporting earnings.  Some of these stocks are hovering along their all time highs.  Earnings reports can drive these names up or down and that can affect the overall condition of the market.  Below is my projected upper and lower range target for the 3 major indexes this week.  Once again, this is not a forecast.  It is best to monitor the market daily and make appropriate adjustments on the stocks with a trailing stop to mitigate the loses but also to capture the profits should the market exhibit  "distribution days".  

• $SPY    ...  252 - 261
• $QQQ   ...  146 - 151
• $DJI      ...  22,600 - 23,700

Harvest  Profits

Some of the followers on Twitter and Linkdin that I have been talking to for the past two weeks, are euphoric because we didn't suffer a market crash or any significant pull back in the market.  Most Growth Stocks tend to consolidate once they gain  +20%  to  +25%.  One of the disciplined thing to do when the stocks make such gains is to close down part of the position to lock in profits.  This is the time to raise some cash if you are 100% invested in the market like I am right now.  Most of the Growth Stocks that meet my criteria this weekend have already made some good profits right now.  This is the week to close down the  laggards that are not quite performing like the winning stocks.  It is also the time to harvest partial profits from stocks that have made  +20%  or more.  It is a good idea to leave perhaps  20%  to  30%  of the winning stocks if these stocks have earnings being reported this week.  

My  Winning  Stocks 

Here are the results of some of my winning stocks that I started highlighting in my weekly posts since Sept 17th.  I have targeted these stocks to close out partial positions this week.  They have attained my Profit target that I outlined in my Trade Plans.  I shall retain a small position in each and use trailing stops to mitigate losses, should the market retrace a bit this week.  I have indicated in parenthesis the date the trade was placed and the price that it was filled at.  For those of you that are following my trades for learning purposes, I encourage you to reach out to me if you have any questions on these trades.

1. $VMW   ... (8/18  $ 95.75)   +23.59%
2. $IPGP    ...(8/31  $170.39)  +18.90%
3. $YY     ...   (9/5    $ 74.50)   +25.00 % 
4. $LRCX  ... (9/25  $171.00)   +20.00%  

Stocks  To  Monitor  This  Week

1. $LGIH
2. $NVR
3. $NOW
4. $DVMT
5. $CRM
6. $SHW
7. $IONS
8. $TXN

Mentoring  Program

Would you like to learn:

• How to select the winning Growth Stocks like I do?
• How to identify the right time to buy the stock?
• How to identify the right time to sell the stock?

  

Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see how best our program can make you a profitable investor.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com

Classes for october are all filled currently.  I may be able to open up some slots for November classes.  Hurry and reserve your time slot.  We are in the 4th quarter of the year and the best quarter to profit in the market.  Don't procrastinate.  Invest in yourself like I did and take control of your financial future.

Happy Trading!

Amin

    

30  Year  Anniversary  Of  1987  October  Market  CRASH !!!  

I still remember that Monday in October of  1987  when the  $DJI  dropped  -22%  in a single day.  My portfolio was down by  -40%  by the end of the week.  I was too naive at that time to put my trust on people that were handling my money.  It was a very painful event.  I have since than learnt to recognize the warning signs of imminent worsening market conditions.  Knowing what to look for helped me save my portfolio during the market correction in the year  2000  and  2008.  In the process I also learnt to recognize the signals of the market rally.  IBD (Investors Business Daily)  identifies this signal as a   Follow Thru Day.  Once you acquire the skills of reading and understanding the stock charts, you as a retail investor/trader will avoid a market crash.  You will also learn to  TIME  the market and enter the market just at the right time.  

My  Market  Outlook

I still have a bullish bias towards the market.  I did not see any data last 2 weeks to suggest that we would have a market crash in October this year.  I hear remarks from other investors who can't believe that the market is not going through a major correction.  So many investors are fearful and scared to be in the market.  They are being defensive and listening to what some of the market  "GURUS"  spout out on media.  Going by your feelings about the market or your biased opinions can be very misleading.  Data is what really matters.

Currently we have  2   distribution days   with the major indexes of  $SPY  and  $NASDAQ.  The famous crash in 1929 had piled up  9  distribution days  and the October  1987  crash had  11  distribution days.   That is the data.  Market is also in a confirmed uptrend.  This is a signal that suggests to retail investors to initiate stock purchases.  Currently I have  75%  of my portfolio invested in the market.  There have been quite a few stocks popping up from their bases all summer long.  Most bullish quarter of the year started 2 weeks ago.  This week we have some major financial and transport names reporting earnings.  Institutional investors account for  75%  to  80%  of the daily trading in the stock market.  They ultimately decide the movement of the stock.  Controlling losses and harvesting profits with the use of trailing stops is a good strategy to follow.  

Where  Are  We  Headed

We had a  Follow Thru Day  on election day  Nov 8th of 2016.  That was the signal to enter the market.  We have not had a  -5%  correction since the election.  The following 3 major indexes have been closely following the  8 day ema(exponential moving average) on a weekly chart for the last  11  months.  That data suggests the bullish stance of the market.  Here are the performances of the major index.  I have highlighted the range in parenthesis what I view as the direction of the market in the next 2 weeks.  It is not a forecast by any means.  Monitor the market daily and make appropriate adjustments on your stocks with trailing stops. 

• $SPY ...  +17.80%   (250 - 260)
• $DJI ...    + 21.35%  (22,500 - 23,300)
• QQQ ...   + 28.00%  (144.50 - 152)

Update  On  9  Stock  Positions 

There were 9 stock positions initiated in September to roll out profits that were harvested from the 10 stocks that were closed out.  3  of the stocks had losses of  -4%   and the trailing stops helped to mitigate greater losses.  Following are the results and they are still managed actively with trailing stops to capture more profits. 

1. $YY     (9/5)  ...   +25%
2. $PAYC (9/18) ... +6.52%
3. $CGNX (9/22) ... +5.81%
4. $LRCX (9/25) ...  +11.0%
5. $CTRL (9/25) ...  +9.53%
6. $AMAT (9/28) ... +10.42% 

Lesson to learn here is to maintain losses no more than 1/3 of what your profit target is.  This way you can lose on 3 trades and make profit on only one position and your portfolio will not suffer any draw downs.  You will sleep better at night knowing that you have stacked odds in your favour. 

Mentoring  Program

You have seen the results of all the trades and stocks on my watch list all year long.  Whats holding you back from taking control of your portfolio?  You as a retail trader and investor have a much better control over managing your own portfolio than what the institutions can do for you.  

Would you like to learn:

• How to read the signals that the market gives you so you can mitigate losses and profit when the market gives you a very clear signal to enter the market.
• How to consistently Outperform the Market like I have shown you.  Buy the growth stock, at just the right time and sell them with precise Trade Plan in place for Loss Exit, Profit Exit and Time in the Trade Exit.

Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see if you qualify for our program.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com

We have just a few spots left.  Don't procrastinate and take action now.  Invest in yourself like I did and take control of your financial future.  

Happy Trading!

AMIN