Sunday, December 10, 2017

Market  Performance

Technology Sector  ($XLK)  which had been the leading sector all year long, began giving up their leadership in the last two weeks.  There were distinct signals left by the institutions leading me to conclude that they were harvesting their profits from the leading chip stocks and taking positions in the Financial Sector  (XLF)  and Consumer Discretionary Sector  (XLY).  As a Growth Stock investor, it makes sense to be invested in only the leading stocks in the leading sector.  That is my formula for profiting in the market by Out Performing the Market, as measured by the performance of  $SPY - an index of measurement of the performance of the general market.

Performance of the 3 major indexes and the 9 Major Sectors of the market last week are highlighted below:

  • $QQQ   ... +0.14% (Technology market index of 100 companies except Financials)
  • $SPY    ... +0.40% (General market Index of 500 large US companies)
  • $DJI     ...  +0.40% (Dow 30 index of 30 mature companies) 
  • $XLV   ...   -0.35% (Health Care Sector)
  • $XLE    ...  -0.57% (Energy Sector)
  • $XLU    ...  -0.96% (Utilities dividend paying Sector)
  • $XLK   ...   +0.14% (Technology Sector)
  • $XLB   ...   +0.61% (Materials Sector)
  • $XLY   ...   +0.66% (Consumer Discretionary Sector)
  • $XLP   ...   +0.71% (Consumer Staples Sector)
  • $XLI   ...    +1.47% (Industrial Sector)  
  • $XLF   ...   +1.56% (Financial Sector)

Performance  of  Stocks  on  My  Watch  List (Listed in My Blog of 12/3)


1.   $WMT   ... - 0.82%
2.   $ICE     ... - 1.58%
3.   $MCD   ...  + 0.16%
4.   $MCO   ...  + 0.72%
5.   $WLK   ...  + 1.37%
6.   $SIVB   ...  + 1.80%
7.   $BGCP  ... + 2.02%
8.   $AMTD  ... + 2.09%
9.   $NKE   ...  + 2.37%
10.  $ODFL ... + 2.43%
11.  $AMP   ... + 4.55%

Total losses from 2 losing positions was   - 2.40%
Total profit from 9 winning positions was  +17.51%
Total profit from all 11 positions (2 losing and 9 winning) was
+15.11%
Average returns from all 11 positions (2 losing and 9 winning) was  + 1.37%  for the week (+71.2% annualized)
$SPY  was + 0.40%  for the week (+20.8% annualized)

Stocks on My Watch List Outperformed the General Market by 3.42 times.  Investing in the leading Stocks in the Leading Sector is the way to consistently Out Perform the General Market.

Mentoring  Program

Would you like to learn:
  • How to identify the  Leading Stocks  in the  Leading Sector?
  • How to Look for  Signals  that institutions leave behind during Sector rotation?
  • How to manage your Stocks to  "Out Perform the Market?"
  • How to Mitigate  "RISK"  with your stocks?
Schedule a  FREE  30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us and find out how best our individualized mentoring can make you a profitable investor.  There are limited number of spots left for the New Year.  You have already missed out on 2017 bullish year where you could have more than doubled your returns as compared to the  $SPY (General Market Performance).  Make 2018   your year to profit so don't procrastinate.  Make an investment in your education and learn from one of the best in the business.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com


Happy Trading!

Amin



Sunday, December 3, 2017

Market  Performance



Technology Sector which has been the leading sector this year, retraced on Wednesday Nov 22.  $QQQ  the leading index exhibited a  "distribution day"  in volume  2.5  times the normal average daily volume.  Similar thing happened on June 9th.  The only difference is that in June,  $QQQ   went into correction within 4 weeks and began to slide down below the 50 day sma (simple moving average).  It took down the technology sector along with it.  This time however,  $QQQ  index as well as the $XLK (Technology Sector), recovered the next day and stayed above the 21 day ema(exponential moving average).  That is a healthy sign for the market.  Quite a few of the leading technology stocks however were sold off by the institutions.  That is a normal correction to be expected when stocks such as   $YY(+61.11%),  $IPGP(+42.06%)  and  $CTRL(+30.04%)  were showing profits within  8  to 10 weeks.   


Market  Outlook

Currently we have a total of 5  "distribution days"  with the  $NASDAQ  at 4 and  $SPY  with 1.  Market is still in a  "Confirmed Uptrend"  according to IBD(Investors Business Daily).  Performance of the 3 indexes and the 3 leading sectors for November is:
  • $QQQ ... +1.55%
  • $SPY  ... +2.84%
  • $DJI   ...  +3.65%
  • $XLP   ... +5.84% (Consumer Staples Sector)
  • $XLY   ... +5.02% (Consumer Discretionary Sector)
  • $XLF   ... +3.68% (Financial Sector)
What we are witnessing is a  Sector Rotation  in the market.  Institutions have exited some of the leading Technology Stocks while building defensive dividend paying stock positions in the Consumer Staples.  They have also started building positions in the Consumer Discretionary and Financial Sector as well.  

My projections for the  $DJI  and  $SPY (just a hair shy) that I highlighted in my post of Nov 26th were met.  Market continues to exhibit a bullish trend.  We are heading into December which is one of the best performing months of the year.  My year end projections for the 3 indexes are:

  • $SPY  ... 270
  • $QQQ ...160
  • $DJI    ... 25,000

Stocks  On  My  Watch  List

  • $SIVB
  • $BGCP
  • $WLK
  • $ODFL
  • $AMTD
  • $ICE
  • $AMP
  • $MCO
  • $MCD
  • $NKE
  • $WMT

Mentoring  Program

Would you like to learn:

  • How to  "TIME"  the market?
  • How to Identify the Leading Stocks in the Leading Sector?
  • How to  Plan your Trade  for Profit, Loss and Time in the trade?
  • How to Manage your Stocks to  "Out Perform the Market?"
  • How to Mitigate  "RISK"  with your stocks?
Schedule a  FREE  30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see how best our individualized program can make you a profitable investor.  We have just a few spots left for December.  Don't procrastinate and be left behind.  You have already missed Out Performing the market this year.  Enroll in our program now so you can double your portfolio while the market continues to be bullish.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com


Happy Trading!

Amin

Sunday, November 26, 2017

Market  Conditions

These are the kinds of markets that every investor and trader is searching for.  Currently the market is in a   "Confirmed Uptrend".   We have only 7   "Distribution Days"   between the  $NASDAQ  and   $SPY.  I had highlighted in my previous posts that November and December are traditionally the best performing months of the year.  Retail investors and traders should have been 100%  in the market as of beginning of October.  Here are my projections for the year end for the 3 major indexes and the leading Technology Sector:
  • $SPY  ... 265
  • $DJI    ... 24,100
  • $QQQ ... 162
  • $XLK   ... 67

Performance  of  My  Stocks

I am a Growth Stock Investor and as such I  TIME  the market.  July 12th was a signal to me to start building my positions in stocks gradually.  By the end of September, we had a very clear signal that the market was reaching higher highs and higher lows.  That was a bullish sign to start concentrating stock positions into the leading stocks and harvesting profits from the laggards.  Technology Sector was clearly the leading sector at that time.  With my rules of trading Growth Stocks, the only stocks to buy are the leading stocks in the leading sector.  They offer the best chance of   Out Performing the market.   Here are the results of the  19 stock positions currently.  I have indicated in parenthesis, the date and the price the stock was purchased.
  1. $VMW ...   (8/18 ...  $ 95.75)   + 29.73%
  2. $CRM  ...   (8/28 ...  $ 93.00)   +15.22%
  3. $CDNS  ... (8/29 ...  $ 37.50)   + 21.60%
  4. $RHT    ... (8/29 ...  $105.00)   + 22.25%
  5. $ALGN ... (8/30 ...  $173.00)   + 47.26%
  6. $PYPL  ... (8/31  ... $ 61.30)    + 28.17%
  7. $IPGP   ... (8/31  ... $170.39)   + 42.06%
  8. $ASML ... (9/1   ... $ 156.50)   + 19.09%
  9. $MA     ...  (9/1   ... $ 133.30)   + 14.58%
  10. $ANET ... (9/1   ...  $176.00 )   + 37.53%
  11. $YY     ...  (9/5   ...  $ 74.50  )   + 61.11%
  12. $OLED ... (9/6   ...  $ 129.00)   + 48.02%
  13. $CGNX ... (9/22 ... $ 111.80)   + 29.14%
  14. $CTRL  ... (9/25 ... $ 27. 50)    + 30.04% 
  15. $NVDA ... (9/25 ... $ 170.20)   + 24.12%
  16. $LRCX  ... (9/25 ... $ 171.00)   + 26.80%
  17. $AMAT ... (9/28 ... $  48. 85)   + 18.55%
  18. $PYPL ...  (10/24 ... $ 70.00)   + 12.24% (Second position)
  19. $RHT   ...  (11/6   ... $121.22)  + 5.89%
Average performance of these 19 stocks is  +28.07%  for stocks that are held in the last 14 weeks.  The performance of the leading index  $QQQ  in the same time frame has been  + 10.64%  and the leading Technology Sector  $XLK has been  +13.02%.   These 19 stocks have  Out Performed  the leading index and the leading sector by at least two times.

Mentoring  Program

Would you like to learn:

  • How to   "TIME"   the market?
  • How to Identify the Leading Stocks in the Leading Sector?
  • How to  Plan your Trade for Profit, Loss and Time in the trade?
  • How to Manage your Stocks to  "Out Perform the Market"
  • How to Mitigate   "RISK"  with your stocks?
Schedule a  FREE  30  minutes of   "Discovery Call"   with us to see how best our individualized program can make you a profitable investor.  We have a limited number of spots for December.  Don't procrastinate and be left behind.  You have already missed  Outperforming the Markets  in the last 12 months.  Don't procrastinate and Learn from the best in the business.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com

Happy Trading!

Amin

DISCLAIMER



Do not take a position unless you are prepared to sustain a TOTAL LOSS. Your loss could include the money you invested as well as commissions and transaction charges.


The Information I provide is for education and informational purposes only. The Information provided is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice or any other advice. The Information provided is general in nature and is not specific to you or anyone else.


YOU SHOULD NOT MAKE ANY DECISION, FINANCIAL, INVESTMENTS, TRADING OR OTHERWISE, BASED ON ANY OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED WITHOUT UNDERTAKING INDEPENDENT DUE DILIGENCE AND CONSULTATION WITH A LICENSED PROFESSIONAL. You understand that you are using this Information AT YOUR OWN RISK.