Sunday, November 12, 2017

"Follow  Thru"  Day

Can you  TIME  the market? 

ABSOLUTELY

We had a  "Follow Thru"  day on November 8th 2016 which is a signal that tells us that the new bull market has begun.  This is the day when according to Mr. William J. O'Neil (founder of Investors Business Daily) one must start buying the leading high rated growth stocks.  This is the day that the market status changed to a  "Confirmed Uptrend".  Its like a Green light to the retail investors to start deploying their cash into quality stocks.  Highly rated stocks break out of their bases and they rise rapidly within days from their 50 day sma (simple moving averages) to 10 day sma.   

Every bull market starts with a  "Follow Thru"  day.   Not every  "Follow Thru"  day triggers a new bull market though.  However, no bull market has occurred without a  "Follow Thru"  day.  On Friday Sept 9th, we had a major   "distribution day"   when the 3 major indexes   $SPY, $QQQ  and  $DJI  traded below their  50 day sma.  Market status changed to  Market in Correction.  This was the signal to go into  CASH  and to preserve the capital from eroding.  Within 4 weeks, the market changed on Wednesday Nov 9th and those that knew how to  TIME  the market, were rewarded handsomely by outperforming the market.

Market  Results 

Its exactly a year since we entered the new bull market on Nov 8th 2016.  Here are the results of the performance of the 3 major indexex as well as the performance of all the 9 major sectors of the US stock market:

Major Indexes

  1. $SPY ...  +20.81%  
  2. $DJI   ...  +28.50% 
  3. $QQQ  ...+31.40%
Major Sectors

  1. $XLK   ... +34%      (Technology Sector)
  2. $XLF   ... +32%      (Financial Sector)
  3. $XLB   ... +24.08% (Materials Sector)
  4. $XLI   ...  +23.70% (Industrial Sector)
  5. $XLV  ...  +19.25% (Health Care Sector)
  6. $XLY  ...  +16.49% (Consumer Discretionary Sector)
  7. $XLU  ... +13.20%  (Utilities Sector)
  8. $XLE  ... +1.21%    (Energy Sector)
  9. $XLP  ... +0.87%    (Consumer Staples)
Technology was the leading sector for the last 12 months.  17  of the  21  stocks that I had highlighted in my post last week, were in the Technology Sector.  As a retail investor of growth Stocks, one must identify the leading stocks in the leading sector to  Out Perform the Market.

Mentoring  Program

You have seen the results of all the trades and stocks that I have shared with you for the past year.  I consistently Outperform the Market every month.  Retail investor are much more nimble than the institutional investors like hedge funds or mutual funds.  Retail investors that study the markets ought to do better than the institutional investors. 

Would you like to learn:
  • How to  TIME  the market?
  • How to read the signals that the market gives you so you can mitigate losses?
  • How to identify leading Growth Stocks in the leading Sector?
  • How to create a Trade Plan for Loss Exit, Profit Exit and the Time in the Trade Exit?
  • How to enter into a stock position with a Low Risk?  
Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see if you qualify for our program.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com


There are limited spots for the class.  Don't procrastinate and take action now by contacting us.  Invest in yourself and take control of your financial future.


Happy Trading!

AMIN


Sunday, November 5, 2017

Market  Conditions

Market continues to be in a bullish mode.  If you are not fully invested in the market than you are missing out on profiting from it.  I still hear traders expressing opinions that the market is topping out and climaxing.  I analyse the market every weekend and the data reflects that we continue to get higher highs and higher lows on the major indexes.  June through September are traditionally the worst months of the year.  Looking at the history over the past 50 years,  $SPY (a barometer for the general market) has delivered  -0.03%.   This year however, it was  +4.06%   This trend has continued for the month of October as well.  The performance of the major indexes for October and the leading Technology Sector is as follows:
  • $SPY    ... +2.36%
  • $DJI     ...  +4.35%
  • $QQQ   ... +4.61%
  • $XLK    ...  +7.43%
In order to outperform the general market one must identify the leading stocks in the leading sector.  One must take a position in these stocks by timimg the market.  YES ... You can time the market.  According to  Mr William J. O'Neil (Founder of Investors Business Daily),  he suggests that   "One must buy something on a  Follow Thru Day".   We had a confirmation signal in mid May that gave us a signal to be involved in the market regardless of what the historical data suggested that it wasn't a good time to get in the market.  We had a similar signal on  Feb 16th  and again on  July 1st  and Nov 8th. 

Performance  of  My  21  Stocks

Currently I am  90%  invested in the market.  We are heading into the best 2 months of the year.  Most of the  S&P 500 companies have reported their earnings and we are heading into the tail end of the 3rd quarter earnings season.  This is the time to close out the position on the laggards and harvest profits in stocks that have attained  +15%  or more in profits.  One must have some cash available right now to either add to the position that are profitable and trending along the 8 day ema (exponential moving average)  or to invest in a new position that is approaching its buy area.  Here are the results:

  1. $LMT   ...  + 1.64% (8/29)
  2. $RTN   ...  + 2.05% (8/29)
  3. $FOXF  ... + 4.62% (8/25)
  4. $MNST  ... + 4.85% (8/28)
  5. $PAYC  ...  + 7.05% (9/18)
  6. $MRCY  ... + 9.06% (8/28)
  7. $CRM   ... + 10.44% (8/28)
  8. $MA    ...   + 12.00% (9/1)
  9. $CI    ...     + 12.48% (8/30)
  10. $AMAT   ...+ 15.67% (9/28)
  11. $CTRL   ...+ 16.45% (9/25)
  12. $CDNS  ...+ 17.07% (8/29)
  13. $ASML   ...+ 17.94% (9/1)
  14. $CGNX  ...+ 18.86% (9/22)
  15. $PYPL  ... + 19.73% (8/31)
  16. $LRCX  ... + 21.10% (9/25)
  17. $YY      ...  + 21.49% (9/5)
  18. $OLED  ... + 22.56% (9/6)
  19. $VMW  ...  + 23.17% (8/18)
  20. $IPGP   ... + 25.51% (8/31)
  21. $ALGN   ...+ 39.11% (8/28)
Average gain for these stocks is  +15.37%.  I have indicated in parenthesis the date that the position was initiated.  Most of these stocks have been  held for  5  to  10  weeks.  

Mentoring  Program

Question you should all be asking your hedge fund managers and mutual funds that you are invested in is:

1. Has your portfolio performed as well as mine and if not why not?
2. Did your portfolio outperform the market by twice as much during the June to September period?

You all know the answer to that.  Take control of your portfolio and learn to invest yourself to outperform the market.  $QQQ  the leading index has already performed  +33%  in the last 12 months.  My 21 stocks performed   +15.37%   (80% annualized)  in less than 10 weeks. 

Schedule a  FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see how best our individualized program can make you a profitable investor.  Just a few spots are left for new students.  Don't procrastinate and be left behind.  What are you waiting for?  Don't be left behind while the market continues to move forward.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com

 
Happy Trading!

Amin




   



  

Sunday, October 29, 2017

Bulls  Are  In  Charge

I have been expressing a bullish view for the market since the beginning of this year.  There has not been a major correction or any significant pull back in the market, since the beginning of this year.  The only significant retracement on the major indexes we have experienced was during the 4 weeks from June 8th to July 6th.  $QQQ  had retraced  -5%   but it bounced right back after mid July.  We continue to witness higher highs and higher lows on all the 3 major indexes that I monitor every week.  My upper range target for the  $QQQ  that I posted last week was  151  and we managed to finish the week at  151.24    

October is traditionally the start of our best performing quarter of the year.  This is the quarter that retail investors ought to stay engaged with the market.  There are lot of growth stocks that are continuing to break out during this 3rd quarter earnings report.  Here are the results of the the 3 major indexes and the leading sector performance for the last 4 weeks since Sept 29th:

  • $SPY    ... +2.58%
  • $QQQ  ...  +3.98%
  • $DJI     ...  +4.59%
  • $XLF   ...   +3.56% (Financial Sector)
  • $XLU   ...   +3.77% (Utility Sector)
  • $XLB   ...   +4.08% (Materials Sector)
  • $XLK   ...   +5.82% (Technology Sector)
Retail investors and traders should continue looking for Growth Stocks in the Technology Sector.  Year to date performance for this sector has been  +30%.  Being in the leading sector is the way to outperform the general market as measured by  $SPY  which has been  +15.29%  year to date.

Results  of  Stocks  on  Watch  List  From  Last  Week

I had highlighted  8  Growth Stocks  in my post last week that were the leading stocks in the leading sectors.  7  of these stocks were up for the week but there was one that took a deep dive of  - 12.41%  last week.  It was a Biopharma  stock.  It gapped down on Tuesday in volume that was  3  times the normal average daily volume.  Trailing stops that I had at  - 5%  loss did not trigger since the stock never traded at the trigger price.  Biopharma stocks tend to be very volatile.  One of the strategies to utilize when trading and investing in volatile Growth Stocks is to limit the size of the position to   20%  to  30%  of the initial position, until the stock proves itself.  Overall, for all the 8  stocks - 7 winning stocks and 1 losing stock - the performance was  +2.63  (+136%  annualized)

  1. $NVR   ... +0.53%
  2. $NOW  ... +0.73%
  3. $CRM   ... +1.82%
  4. $SHW   ... +1.95%
  5. $DVMT  ...+1.99%
  6. $TXN    ... +2.44%
  7. $LGIH   ... +5.58%
  8. $IONS   ... -12.41%

Mentoring  Program

Would you like to learn:

  • How to consistently select the winning Growth Stocks?
  • How to Buy the Stock Right?
  • How to Sell the Stock Right?
  • How to minimize and mitigate the Risk?
  • How to Plan Your Trade?

Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see how best our individualized program can make you a profitable investor.  Only a few spots are left for November.  What are you waiting for?  Don't be left behind while the market moves forward.


Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com 


Happy Trading!

Amin



Sunday, October 22, 2017

Market  Outlook  Week  of    Oct  23  to  Oct  27

I still have a bullish outlook for the market.  Retail traders and investors should be  100%  invested in the stock market by now.  Currently we have only 4  "distribution days"   between the two major indexes of   $NASDAQ   and   $SPY.  Market has been in a  "Confirmed Uptrend"   and the condition of the market is healthy.  On  the 30th anniversary of the market crash of 1987 on Thursday Oct 19th,  there was some heavy selling but the institutions kept all the 3 indexes -  $SPY,  $NASDAQ   and  $DJI  above the 8 day ema(exponential moving average).  The following day on Friday, the institutions came in as buyers and all the 3 indexes finished above the 8 day ema.  My upper range target for the   $DJI  that I posted last week was  23,300  and we managed to finish the week  at  23,328.60.  

$SPY  and  $DJI  have been trending along the 8 day ema for the last 6 weeks.  We have not had any major retracements down to the 34 day ema for the last 6 weeks.  This week we are having some names in the Transport Sector, $AAL, $ALK, $SAVE, $LUV, $ALK, $UPS, $UNP and the Defense Sector, $BA,$GD,$NOC,LMT as well as the depressed Energy Sector, $HAL,$COP,$XOM and $CVX reporting earnings.  Some of these stocks are hovering along their all time highs.  Earnings reports can drive these names up or down and that can affect the overall condition of the market.  Below is my projected upper and lower range target for the 3 major indexes this week.  Once again, this is not a forecast.  It is best to monitor the market daily and make appropriate adjustments on the stocks with a trailing stop to mitigate the loses but also to capture the profits should the market exhibit  "distribution days".  

  • $SPY    ...  252 - 261
  • $QQQ   ...  146 - 151
  • $DJI      ...  22,600 - 23,700

Harvest  Profits

Some of the followers on Twitter and Linkdin that I have been talking to for the past two weeks, are euphoric because we didn't suffer a market crash or any significant pull back in the market.  Most Growth Stocks tend to consolidate once they gain  +20%  to  +25%.  One of the disciplined thing to do when the stocks make such gains is to close down part of the position to lock in profits.  This is the time to raise some cash if you are 100% invested in the market like I am right now.  Most of the Growth Stocks that meet my criteria this weekend have already made some good profits right now.  This is the week to close down the  laggards that are not quite performing like the winning stocks.  It is also the time to harvest partial profits from stocks that have made  +20%  or more.  It is a good idea to leave perhaps  20%  to  30%  of the winning stocks if these stocks have earnings being reported this week.  

My  Winning  Stocks 

Here are the results of some of my winning stocks that I started highlighting in my weekly posts since Sept 17th.  I have targeted these stocks to close out partial positions this week.  They have attained my Profit target that I outlined in my Trade Plans.  I shall retain a small position in each and use trailing stops to mitigate losses, should the market retrace a bit this week.  I have indicated in parenthesis the date the trade was placed and the price that it was filled at.  For those of you that are following my trades for learning purposes, I encourage you to reach out to me if you have any questions on these trades.

  1. $VMW   ... (8/18  $ 95.75)   +23.59%
  2. $IPGP    ...(8/31  $170.39)  +18.90%
  3. $YY     ...   (9/5    $ 74.50)   +25.00 % 
  4. $LRCX  ... (9/25  $171.00)   +20.00%  


Stocks  To  Monitor  This  Week

  1. $LGIH
  2. $NVR
  3. $NOW
  4. $DVMT
  5. $CRM
  6. $SHW
  7. $IONS
  8. $TXN

Mentoring  Program

Would you like to learn:
  • How to select the winning Growth Stocks like I do?
  • How to identify the right time to buy the stock?
  • How to identify the right time to sell the stock?
  
Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see how best our program can make you a profitable investor.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com

Classes for october are all filled currently.  I may be able to open up some slots for November classes.  Hurry and reserve your time slot.  We are in the 4th quarter of the year and the best quarter to profit in the market.  Don't procrastinate.  Invest in yourself like I did and take control of your financial future.

Happy Trading!

Amin

    

Sunday, October 15, 2017

30  Year  Anniversary  Of  1987  October  Market  CRASH !!!  

I still remember that Monday in October of  1987  when the  $DJI  dropped  -22%  in a single day.  My portfolio was down by  -40%  by the end of the week.  I was too naive at that time to put my trust on people that were handling my money.  It was a very painful event.  I have since than learnt to recognize the warning signs of imminent worsening market conditions.  Knowing what to look for helped me save my portfolio during the market correction in the year  2000  and  2008.  In the process I also learnt to recognize the signals of the market rally.  IBD (Investors Business Daily)  identifies this signal as a   Follow Thru Day.  Once you acquire the skills of reading and understanding the stock charts, you as a retail investor/trader will avoid a market crash.  You will also learn to  TIME  the market and enter the market just at the right time.  

My  Market  Outlook

I still have a bullish bias towards the market.  I did not see any data last 2 weeks to suggest that we would have a market crash in October this year.  I hear remarks from other investors who can't believe that the market is not going through a major correction.  So many investors are fearful and scared to be in the market.  They are being defensive and listening to what some of the market  "GURUS"  spout out on media.  Going by your feelings about the market or your biased opinions can be very misleading.  Data is what really matters.

Currently we have  2   distribution days   with the major indexes of  $SPY  and  $NASDAQ.  The famous crash in 1929 had piled up  9  distribution days  and the October  1987  crash had  11  distribution days.   That is the data.  Market is also in a confirmed uptrend.  This is a signal that suggests to retail investors to initiate stock purchases.  Currently I have  75%  of my portfolio invested in the market.  There have been quite a few stocks popping up from their bases all summer long.  Most bullish quarter of the year started 2 weeks ago.  This week we have some major financial and transport names reporting earnings.  Institutional investors account for  75%  to  80%  of the daily trading in the stock market.  They ultimately decide the movement of the stock.  Controlling losses and harvesting profits with the use of trailing stops is a good strategy to follow.  

Where  Are  We  Headed

We had a  Follow Thru Day  on election day  Nov 8th of 2016.  That was the signal to enter the market.  We have not had a  -5%  correction since the election.  The following 3 major indexes have been closely following the  8 day ema(exponential moving average) on a weekly chart for the last  11  months.  That data suggests the bullish stance of the market.  Here are the performances of the major index.  I have highlighted the range in parenthesis what I view as the direction of the market in the next 2 weeks.  It is not a forecast by any means.  Monitor the market daily and make appropriate adjustments on your stocks with trailing stops. 
  • $SPY ...  +17.80%   (250 - 260)
  • $DJI ...    + 21.35%  (22,500 - 23,300)
  • QQQ ...   + 28.00%  (144.50 - 152)

Update  On  9  Stock  Positions 

There were 9 stock positions initiated in September to roll out profits that were harvested from the 10 stocks that were closed out.  3  of the stocks had losses of  -4%   and the trailing stops helped to mitigate greater losses.  Following are the results and they are still managed actively with trailing stops to capture more profits. 

  1. $YY     (9/5)  ...   +25%
  2. $PAYC (9/18) ... +6.52%
  3. $CGNX (9/22) ... +5.81%
  4. $LRCX (9/25) ...  +11.0%
  5. $CTRL (9/25) ...  +9.53%
  6. $AMAT (9/28) ... +10.42% 
Lesson to learn here is to maintain losses no more than 1/3 of what your profit target is.  This way you can lose on 3 trades and make profit on only one position and your portfolio will not suffer any draw downs.  You will sleep better at night knowing that you have stacked odds in your favour. 

Mentoring  Program

You have seen the results of all the trades and stocks on my watch list all year long.  Whats holding you back from taking control of your portfolio?  You as a retail trader and investor have a much better control over managing your own portfolio than what the institutions can do for you.  

Would you like to learn:
  • How to read the signals that the market gives you so you can mitigate losses and profit when the market gives you a very clear signal to enter the market.
  • How to consistently Outperform the Market like I have shown you.  Buy the growth stock, at just the right time and sell them with precise Trade Plan in place for Loss Exit, Profit Exit and Time in the Trade Exit.
Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see if you qualify for our program.


Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com


We have just a few spots left.  Don't procrastinate and take action now.  Invest in yourself like I did and take control of your financial future.  

Happy Trading!

AMIN



 

       

Sunday, October 8, 2017

Are  We  Heading  For  A  Market  Crash ?

I celebrated my birthday yesterday and as usual, I looked over a 100 stock charts and  50 etf's  and major indexes.  Why did I do that?  There are several reasons for it that has motivated me to be disciplined to do this every weekend.  Here are some of my reasons:
  • I had celebrated my birthday 30 years ago in 1987 and a week later the stock market crashed.  My portfolio was down by  -40%  within a week.  Ouch !  Ouch!  Ouch!  Never again will I be caught off guard and face this again.  I have since than learnt to know what signs to look for that would signal a market crash.  I saved my portfolio in  2000  and  2008/2009  market crash.  
  • I study and analyse the market every Saturday and Sunday.  Market is closed and there is no noise of the market to contend with.  I don't want to nor do I care to hear the opinions and sentiments of the so called  "GURUS"  that appear on national media.  I look at the data to drive my decisions about the market.  It really doesn't matter what I think or what the stock market traditionally does in October. 
Market conditions are very healthy right now.  We have only 2 distribution days between the   $NASDAQ   and   $SPY.   If the distribution count starts piling up in a row,  I would be concerned than.  1987  market crash began giving us warning shots across the bow in mid September.  What the hell were my mutual fund managers doing than?  They were not looking out for my interests.  How is it that they did not see these warning signs?  The famous  1929  stock market crash gave warning signals several days before and the greatest stock trader Mr. Jesse Livermore knew what signs to look for.  He was thoroughly prepared to profit from the signals he knew and recognized.  He made over  $100  million profit by shorting the market that day. 

Heading  Out  To  Disney

I am taking a few days off to enjoy the  "Food and Wine Festival"  at Epcot Disney Theme Park in Orlando Florida.  I will be totally engaged with the market while I am taking a mini vacation.  I just finished adjusting my   "Trailing Stops".   This is something that every trader and investor ought to do with their stock positions.  Lot of the stocks that I have featured in my blog post last 5 weeks have attained their profit targets.  Some of them have not advanced as much and are retracing.  This is a week one must be disciplined to adjust the trailing stops to lock in the profits in the trade and also to avoid the stock that is retracing and hitting loss targets.  Don't ever let a small loss of  -4%  to  -5%   end up being a  -10%  to  -20% 

Mentoring  Program

Retail traders should never have to suffer a  -40%  loss that I suffered during the 1987 mid October   "Market Crash".   I have since learnt that the hedge funds and mutual funds are not equipped to nor can they completely get out of the market during a crash.  Its not like they can park their money in a checking account like we can. 

Would you like to learn:
  • How to read the signals that the market gives you so as to avoid the market crash we had in 1987, 2000 and 2008/2009.  Learn how to avoid  -40%   to    -50%  during such a market crash.
  • How to consistently Outperform the Market like I do?
Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see if you qualify for our program.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com


We have only a handful of spots left.  You know your hedge funds and mutual funds are not going to protect your portfolio during a severe market correction of  -10%  to  -20%   Invest in yourself like I did in 1987 and take control of your financial future.  Don't procrastinate and contact us.

Happy Trading!

Amin



  

Sunday, October 1, 2017

Market  Performance  For  September

Historically, September is the worst month to be in the market.  The returns are normally   -0.47%   on an average for  $SPY  when u look at the average performance over the last 50 years.    For the month of September of 2017, the 3 major indexes had an above average positive performance as indicated below.  I have indicated in parenthesis the year to date performance as well:
  • $SPY ...  +1.51% (+12.39%)
  • $QQQ ... -0.52% (+22.76%) 
  • $DJI  ...  +2.08% (+13.37%) 
This is the first month this year where the  $QQQ  had a negative performance.  This suggests that there was a lot of profit taking from the technology sector this month. This is the reason why I was suggesting to my readers last month to make sure to have trailing stops on your positions.  Institutions have been harvesting their profits from the Technology Sector  ($XLK)  this month and deploying their cash into the depressed Energy Sector (XLE), Industrial Sector  ($XLI)   and the Financial Sector  ($XLF)


Where  Are  We  Headed

I still have a very bullish bias towards the market.  I pore over a 100 stock charts every weekend and study the performance of the Leading Growth Stocks that have a Relative Strength ratings (RS) above 90.  I continue to locate opportunities to profit from Leading Growth Stocks consistently.  We are heading into the best 3 months of the year in the market.  My projections for the year end performance for the 3 major indexes are:
  • $SPY ... 260    (+16.52% for the year)
  • $QQQ ...154    (+30.00% for the year)
  • $DJI  ...23,300 (+17.83% for the year)
We only have 4  "distribution days"  according to to IBD(Investors Business Daily).  This should indicate to us that the overall conditions of the market is very healthy.  

Performance  Of  My  17  Stocks  Was  +5.63%  For  September

Currently I still have the 17 stocks with trailing stops in place.  None of the trailing stops have been triggered either for loss or for profit yet.  They have all been adjusted before the market opens on Monday for the first session of October.  Here is the summary of the results of those 17 stocks. 
  • Total entry price for  17 stocks  ...   $2144.89
  • Total current price for  17 stocks ... $2265.55
  • Total Profit for  17 stocks             ... $120.66  
  • Total % profit for  17 stocks         ... $+5.63%   
My stocks once again outperformed the leading index  $DJI  by +271%  more than 2.5 times the leading index.  This is over and beyond the  2.56  times the average profits over average losses incurred in the 10 positions that were closed last week.  

I have added 4 more positions from the profits that was harvested.

  1. $CGNX   $111.80  (9/22)
  2. $CTRL    $ 27.50  (9/25)
  3. $LRCX    $171.00 (9/25)
  4. $AMAT    $ 48.85  (9/28)

Mentoring  Program

Retail investors and traders should be able to outperform the market because we are more nimble.  Institutions such as hedge funds, pension funds and mutual funds take several weeks to get into a full position and it takes them just as long to exit their positions as well.  

Every investor ought to examine their portfolio and be asking the question:
  • Has your portfolio outperformed the  $SPY  performance of +16.52%  year to date
  • Would you like to learn How to consistently Outperform the market like I do?
Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see  if you qualify for our program.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com

We are heading into the best performing quarter of the year.  Take control of your financial future.  Your hedge funds and investments in the mutual funds is not going to get you ahead in the market.  Instead of paying them the  1%  to  2%  fees, why not invest that money in educating yourself.  

Happy Trading!

Amin




Sunday, September 24, 2017

My  Profits  Are  2.56  Times  My  Average  Losses

Making money in the market is all about controlling your losses.  Before you take any stock position, make sure you have a well written   'Trade Plan'.   Every trade plan must have:
  • Loss target
  • Profit target
  • Time target (how long to be in the market) 
Out of the 27 stock positions I had highlighted last week, total of 10 positions were closed.  The profit and loss for each of those positions were:
  1. $RACE   -4% (met my loss target)
  2. $UNH     -0.75% (stopped out with trailing stop)
  3. $CCL      -4% (met my loss target)
  4. $GRUB   -4.85% (met my loss target)
  5. $ATHM   +0.00% (trailing stop triggered)
  6. $RHT     +0.95% (met my time ... earnings target)
  7. $ADBE   +3.11% (met my time ... earnings target)
  8. $CNC     +4.89% (tailing stop triggered)
  9. $KEM     +16.22% (trailing stop triggered. Reaching climax top)
  10. $CTRL    +27% (trailing stop triggered beyond profit target)
Average loss for  4 positions was   -3.40% (3 weeks)
Average profit for 6 positions was  +8.70% (3 weeks)

You are bound to incur losses when you trade stocks.  The way to outperform the market and to be profitable is to control your losses first and foremost.  I just demonstrated with real live examples, how you can profit   2.56   times more than your average losses even when  4 out of 10 stock trades go against you.  This is how you increase the size of your portfolio.

Market  Conditions

Currently the market is still in a   "Confirmed Uptrend"    according to IBD (Investors Business Daily).   We only have a total of 3 distribution days between the  $SPY  and  $NASDAQ.   Market however is consolidating for the past week.  For the last 3 weeks of September 2017, the 3 major indexes performance as compared to my remaining 17 stock positions, is as indicated below:
  • $QQQ        -1.15%
  • $SPY          +0.65%
  • $DJI            +1.65% 
  • 17 Stocks   +5.13% (out performed the leading index  $DJI by  311%)
Market usually plummets the last week of September.  This would be a good time to adjust your trailing stops to mitigate losses and capture more profits if the market continues to move higher.

I have added 4 more positions to deploy some of the profits that were harvested from the above mentioned 6 stocks.  I have indicated the date in parenthesis and the price of entry after the stock symbol.
  1. $YY        $74.50   (9/5)
  2. $OLED   $129.00 (9/6)  
  3. $PAYC    $75.00  (9/18)
  4. $BABA    $178.40 (9/20)

Mentoring  Program

Examine your portfolio and ask yourself:
  • Has your portfolio outperformed  $SPY  performance of  +11.59%  year to date?
  • Would you like to learn how to consistently Out Perform the market like I do?
Schedule a  FREE  30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"   with us to see if you qualify.

Class size is limited and We only have a few spots left.

Contact us at:

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The best performing quarter starts in just a week.  Do not procrastinate and be left behind.  Your hedge funds and investments in the mutual funds is not going to get you ahead with their meager performance.  Don't pay them the fees.  Invest in yourself instead and learn from me.


Happy Trading!

Amin
 



 





Sunday, September 17, 2017

Hurricane  IRMA

Last Sunday Sept 10th, I was home alone with my 4 cats while the hurricane IRMA was barreling down towards the Tampa Bay - my home area - with over 130 mph winds.  My internet was down and I didn't get to post my regular weekly blog post that I publish before Sunday midnight.  I was scared and very concerned for my family and friends and loved ones in the area.  I have experienced many hurricanes living in Florida for the past 47 years but this one was definately a very scary one and in hind sight I should have left Florida with my 4 cats.  6 million Floridians - 1 out of 3 Florida residents - evacuated and left the state.   This has never happened before and I am proud of the emergency officials for letting the residents know to evacuate from all the low lying areas.  Flooding was the main concern.   A category 5 hurricane would have brought in a 15 to 20 foot tidal surge and would have submerged most of my county of 1.2 million people under water.

I am most thankful for the prayers that were offered to me personally from my connections in social media.  I received so many messages from all regions of the world that I felt truly blessed.  I know their prayers had a large role to play in the wrath that IRMA was bestowing on Florida residents.  The storm made landfall and it dropped down to category 2 storm by the time it got in my area on Sunday evening at 8 pm.  Wind speed dropped down to 65 miles per hour from 135 miles per hour.  We were all sparred.  I offer my very special thanks to all the prayers from all my followers and readers.  I am grateful that all my family, friends and loved ones - including my 4 cats - are all safe and sound.  

Performance  of  My  27  Stocks 

My internet had been down since the day hurricane IRMA landed in Florida on Sunday Sept 10th.  It was finally restored just 3 hours ago - in time for me to publish my blog post tonight.  I was completely cut off from the markets last week because there was no way for me to access the markets.  One very important lesson that I learnt was that having trailing stops to lock in profits and/or to mitigate losses in your positions is critical part of trading the stock market.  I always do that and this hurricane confirmed my thesis as to why this should be a standard operating procedure for any disciplined trader and investor. 

The performance of 3 major indexes since my last post 2 weeks ago as compared to my 27 stocks is as follows:
  • $SPY ...      +0.55%
  • $QQQ ...     +0.06%
  • $DJI  ...       +1.28%
  • 27 stocks ... +2.98% (out performed the leading index $DJI by  233%)
September traditionally is the worst month of the year but I managed to outperform the market by leaps and bounds.  This is not an accident or an anomaly.  It takes one to be totally engaged with the market on a daily basis and to be disciplined to follow the rules of trading.  4 of the stocks were stopped out with  -4%  losses and 1 stock was stopped out with    +16.22%  gain just 3 weeks in the trade.

Losses  and  Profits  of  27  Stocks ($ Amount)

  1. $KEM      +3.0
  2. $CTRL    +4.92
  3. $VMW     +14.50
  4. $FOXF    +3.0
  5. $ALGN    +11.00
  6. $RACE     -4.48
  7. $MNST    +1.18
  8. $CRM      +1.63
  9. $MRCY    +0.03
  10. $ATHM    +3.83
  11. $CNC      +10.18
  12. $CDNS    +0.77
  13. $ADBE     +3.49
  14. $RTN       +1.5
  15. $LMT       -2.70
  16. $RHT       +2.30
  17. $UNH      +3.22
  18. $CI          +6.55
  19. $CCL       -2.73
  20. $IPGP     +9.84
  21. $PYPL     +1.20
  22. $ASML     +5.91
  23. $ANET     +0.96
  24. $GRUB     -2.94
  25. $CELG     +4.04
  26. $V            +1.65
  27. $MA         +8.28

Mentoring  Program

Question you all should be asking yourself is:

1. Has your portfolio performed as well as mine?
2. Has your mutual fund done as well as my 27 stocks?
3. Do you know of any hedge fund that has outperformed the market consistently?

You all know the answer to that.

I am a Retail investor and you should enroll in our   "Mentoring Program"   and learn from one of the best performer in the stock market.

Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"   with us and see if you qualify.  The best performing quarter of the year begins in just 2 weeks.  Don't get left behind.  I have only a few spots left for October class.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com

Act now and do not procrastinate.  You are falling behind if you are investing in index funds, mutual funds, value funds, dividend funds or in Dow 30 stocks.  Don't pay them the fees for mediocre performance.  Invest in yourself instead and learn from me.


Happy Trading!

Amin
 




Monday, September 4, 2017

Market  Performance  For  August

Traditionally, the month of August delivers   +0.10%    on an average for  $SPY  when looking over the data over the last 50 years.   For August of 2017, the 3 major indexes had an above average performance as indicated below:
  • $SPY   ... +0.29%
  • $QQQ  ... +2.07%
  • $DJI    ...  +0.26% 
I am a Growth Stock investor and if you had followed my lead, you would have gotten the results very similar to the performance of the leading   $QQQ   index.   While the general market performance was   +0.29%   as measured by the   $SPY,    the leading index   $QQQ,   outperformed the general market by  7 times.   This is why I have been asking my readers and followers to stay engaged with the market.   There were plenty of opportunities to profit in the market in  August,  if you only allowed the data to drive your decision.   Data was suggesting that the   $XLK (Technology Sector)  was the leading sector.   Had you been engaged with the market, you would have duplicated the performance of   $QQQ.    

Performance  of  My  28  Stocks 

I trade and invest in Growth Stocks because they tend to outperform the market.   It is not a  "Buy and Hold"  strategy or "Buy Low and Sell High"   Strategy.   These are flawed strategies.   My stocks had a performance that was  +70%   better than the performance of the  general market as measured by   $SPY.   This is during the month when we had  2  brutal   distribution days   (August 10th and August 17th)  when both the   $SPY  and  $QQQ    dropped below the  50 day sma(simple moving average)   trend line.   I have highlighted the performance of all the 3 major indexes as compared to the overall performance of my  28  stocks:  
  • $SPY   ...     +1.52%
  • $QQQ  ...     +2.75%
  • $DJI   ...       +0.59%
  • 28 Stocks ... +2.54% (out performed $SPY by  +70%)

Learn  To  Trade  From  Me

Following are the trades that you might want to follow on your virtual platform.   I have indicated in parenthesis the date that the trade was executed.  I also have noted the price of entry next to the the stock symbol:
  1. $KEM    $18.50   (8/11)
  2. $CTRL   $23.00  (8/14)
  3. $VMW   $95.75  (8/18)
  4. $FOXF   $38.50  (8/25)
  5. $ALGN  $173.50 (8/28)
  6. $RACE  $112.00 (8/28)
  7. $MNST  $55.00  (8/28)
  8. $CRM    $93.00  (8/28)
  9. $MRCY   $47.00 (8/28)
  10. $ATHM  $62.00  (8/29)
  11. $CNC    $85.80  (8/29)
  12. $CDNS  $37.50  (8/29)
  13. $ADBE  $151.00 (8/29)
  14. $RTN   $181.00  (8/29)
  15. $LMT   $305.00  (8/29)
  16. $RHT   $105.00  (8/29)
  17. $UNH  $194.96  (8/30)
  18. $CI      $179.50  (8/30)
  19. $CCL   $68.20   (8/30)
  20. $IPGP $170.39  (8/31)
  21. $PYPL $61.30   (8/31)
  22. $ASML $156.50 (9/1)
  23. $ANET $176.00 (9/1)
  24. $GRUB  $56.50  (9/1)
  25. $CELG $138.00  (9/1)
  26. $V       $103.65   (9/1)
  27. $MA    $133.30   (9/1)

Mentoring  Program

Has your portfolio out performed the market in August?

Would you like to learn:


  "How to out Perform the Market"  like the way I do? 


Enroll in our  "Mentoring Program"

Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us to see if you qualify. 
There are only a few spots left.

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Act now and do not procrastinate.  You are falling behind if you are investing in index funds or mutual funds.  Don't pay them the fees for mediocre performance.  Invest in yourself instead and learn from me. 


Happy Trading!

Amin


  

Sunday, August 27, 2017

How  I  Outperform  The  Market

I am a Growth Stock Investor and I follow Mr. William O'Neil's (founder of Investors Business Daily) methodology of trading Growth Stocks.    Studies by IBD has shown that Growth Stocks tend to perform  2 to 2.5 times   better than the average performance of the market, as measured by the performance of  $SPY.   My strategy involves:  

  1. Buy  "High and Sell Higher"
  2. Do not   "Buy and Hold"
  3. Do not  "Buy Cheap Stocks"
  4. Buy "Right and Sell Right"
  5. "Harvest Profits"  as the stock moves higher
  6. Use "Trailing Stops" to protect profits and mitigate losses

That is exactly what I did with the leading Growth Stocks that I had brought to the attention of my readers and followers through my blog posts and my daily tweets.   The two major Indexex and my 28 stocks had the following performance for the last 2 weeks: 
  • $QQQ ...    -0.09%
  • $SPY  ...    +0.18%
  • 28 Stocks  +0.87% (Out Performed the Market by 4.83 times)

Performance  of  My  28  Stocks

9  of the  28  stocks retraced from the  8 day ema (exponential moving average)  but did not trigger the trailing stops.   They are still in the profit zone from their initial buys.   Rest of the  18  stocks continued to move higher or were consolidating along the  8 day ema  while the market was correcting.   I have indicated in parenthesis, how much was the loss and how much was the gain for the last two weeks from  8/14 to 8/25

  • $ALL      (-$1.93)
  • $ABMD   (-$3.70)
  • $ALGN   (-$1.01)
  • $GRUB    (-$0.31)
  • $FB        (-$1.76)
  • $LMT      (-$0.95)
  • $RTN      (-$1.32)
  • $MRCY   (-$0.16)
  • $NVR      (-$11.59)
  • $HDB      ($2.30)
  • $MA       ($4.20)
  • $V          ($2.45)
  • $PGR     ($1.17)
  • $PYPL    ($1.93)
  • $CBOE  ($3.54)
  • $CI        ($4.92)
  • $CNC    ($3.76)
  • $ANET   ($8.04)
  • $IPGP    ($3.47)
  • $MNST   ($1.40)
  • $RACE   ($6.42)
  • $CDNS   ($1.06)
  • $ASML   ($3.03)
  • $BABA   ($20.04)
  • $RCL     ($3.22)
  • $CCL     ($0.69)
  • $NCLH   ($0.95)
  • $BA       ($1.01)

Mentoring  Service

Would you like to learn the formula for my success in the market?

Enroll in our  "Mentoring Program"  
Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of 
"Discovery Call"  with us to see if you qualify.
Contact us at:

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Classes for September are getting filling up fast and just a few select spots are left now.   Do not procrastinate and be left behind in the market.

Happy Trading!

Amin



Sunday, August 20, 2017

Should  You  Bail  Out  Of  The  Market

We had a market correction on Thursday August 10th with a  "distribution day"  but it bounced back for the next 4 days only to follow with another  "distribution day"   on Thursday August 17th.   Lot of my readers and followers were expressing  concerns and  feelings  that the market had topped.   They wondered if they should not be in the market at this time.   They kept saying that August is typically a bad month in the market.   I do agree with them since August performance has been   +0.10%   looking over the average performance over the last 50 years.   I also reminded them that  August of 2014  however was a stellar month with over  +4.00%  performance for the month.   How often do you get that kind of a performance during the summer months?   I sensed that kind of a question in their minds because the data I presented was just brushed off by them.   July of 2015 and 2016 were equally stellar months too according to the data.   You have to be data driven in the market and not your  "feelings"   That is why I spend Saturdays and Sundays to study the market and scrutinize the stock and index charts for clues.

Market  Conditions

Currently we have 14  "distribution days"   according to IBD(Investors Business Daily)   They identify market pulse as  "Market Under Pressure"   This should be a signal to the retail investors to start selling into strength and accumulate CASH.   If one has to take a position in a stock, it should be done with a very small position and only in the top performing leading stocks.   Personally I would go a step further and limit my losses and capture the profits with a trailing stop on all existing positions. 

In my post last week, I had mentioned that our bull market is still intact.   We are continuing to see higher highs and higher lows on the 3 major indexes.   What we are witnessing right now is the retracement and a counter trend in the overall uptrend.   Here is the data for   $QQQ   for the last 3 significant major distribution days we have witnessed during the last 3 months:  
  1. 5/17 ...  -2.54%
  2. 6/9   ...  -2.54%
  3. 8/10 ... - 2.14%
I still heard from my readers  "Oh but this time it is different".   My analysis shows that we had a cluster of  "distribution days"    in June/July/August  when the   $QQQ   dropped significantly as shown below:
  1. 6/8  to 7/13 (17 sessions) ...  -5.14%
  2. 7/26 to 8/18 (23 sessions) ...  -2.57% 
$QQQ   would have to drop another  -2.57%  down to  $139.40 to match the performance we had between  6/8 to 7/13.   Market suddenly doesn't look so bad when you start looking at the data and keep your emotions at bay.

My  Performance  As  A  Hedge Fund

No ... I am not a hedge fund.   Last Monday, I listed 34 leading growth stocks (hedge funds would have that many stocks in their portfolio) on twitter and suggested to my readers to be defensive and have trailing stops on those stocks.   Here are the results of the performance of those stocks for the week.   6 of the 34 stocks were stopped out with the trailing stops to mitigate the losses.   They r listed first, followed by 28 stocks that have continued to go higher or have traded lower but not stopped out yet.   Trailing stops have been adjusted up wards for next week, should the market retrace some more.   I have indicated in parenthesis, how much was the loss and how much was the gain for the week of 8/14 to 8/18 
  • $AMP   (-$0.36)
  • $AON   (-$0.39)
  • $AGO   (-$0.07)
  • $UNH   ($1.02)  
  • $PETS  ($2.76)
  • $VRTX  ($2.78)   
  • $HDB   ($0.73)
  • $MA     ($2.59)
  • $V        ($2.42)
  • $PGR   ($1.42)
  • $PYPL  ($1.40)
  • $CBOE  ($0.07)
  • $ALL    (-$1.03) 
  • $ABMD ($0.77)
  • $ALGN  (-$4.95)
  • $CI       ($2.65)
  • $CNC   ($1.35)
  • $GRUB (-$0.59)
  • $ANET (+$6.32)
  • $IPGP  ($1.97)
  • $MNST ($0.23)
  • $RACE ($3.95)
  • $CDNS ($0.61)
  • $ASML ($1.07)
  • $FB      (-$0.67)
  • $BABA ($15.80)
  • $RCL   ($1.59)
  • $CCL   (-$0.02)
  • $NCLH (-$0.99)
  • $LMT  (-$4.55)
  • $RTN  (-$2.45)
  • $BA     ($0.89)
  • $MRCY ($0.89)
  • $NVR   ($-22.15)
If I was a hedge fund manager and i had all these leading stocks in my portfolio, my performance overall would be just  -0.6%  for last week when we had piled on 5 more  "distribution days"   That is a pretty impressive performance if I must say so. 

Would you like to know the formula for my success in the market?

Enroll in our  "Mentoring Program"

Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us.

Contact us at:

Investorspotlight@gmail.com

Classes for August are already filled and we have just a few spots left for September now.   Don't procrastinate and secure your spot now.


Happy Trading!

Amin


  
     

Sunday, August 13, 2017

Is  The  Rally  Over?

There is so much talk about North Korea in the media.   Everyone is screaming   "Sky is Falling".   Market took a tumble on Thursday August 10th and lot of my readers were asking me if they should bail out of the market.   They were concerned about what was going to transpire with Mr. Trumps comments    "Fire and Fury like the world has never seen before".   Let me just remind everyone that while the 500,000 US and allied troops had gathered to drive our Saddam Hussein out of Kuwait, people were just as concerned than that the market would tumble.   On the contrary, We had a  "Follow thru"  day instead and the market just took off.   All the rhetoric that we hear from both sides of the conflict is simply noise in my view.   It is a distraction and we should instead use that time to build a Stock Watch List and a Trade Plan to execute.   I like to be data driven in my decisions about the market.   How I feel about the market is irrelevant.   Lets look at the data of the market and see what we can learn from it. 


Market  Data

Currently we have 10   "distribution days"   according to the  IBD(Investors Business Daily).   That should give us a pause for caution in the market.   It is a risky condition right now to take on  any new position.   Any stock position that you may have now, should be maintained with a trailing stop in place.   This is the time to be selling defensively.   Looking at the long term charts of the 3 indexes  -  $DJI, $SPY  and  $QQQ,   I find that the bullish market is still intact.   What I am seeing is that these 3 indexes are continuing to attain higher highs and higher lows since the elections on November 8th.   There are brief one day periods of market corrections along the way.   Here are the results of the brief one day major correction in high selling volume we had since March of this year:
  1. 3/21 ... $SPY -1.28%   $QQQ - 1.52%
  2. 5/17 ... $SPY - 1.77%  $QQQ - 2.54%
  3. 8/10 ... $SPY -1.40%   $QQQ - 2.14% 
Market recovered the next day after these one day corrections.   If you had trailing stops on your positions, you would have been protected on Thursday.   We had an extended correction for a month between  6/8  and  7/6  but  $SPY was only  -1.33%  and  $QQQ was  -5.14%   during that month.   Monday August 14th is a new day and a new week.   Have the trailing stops in place and be prepared to sell defensively, should the market go into an extended correction like it did in June.

Stock  Watch  List

We are approaching the tail end of our earnings reports for the second quarter.   We have a lot of retailers like $WMT, $TGT, $URBN, $LB, $GPS $TJX, $ROST, $AAP as well as $BABA and $HD slated to report earnings starting out on Tuesday.   Retailers have not done very well and that theme will once again play out this week.   That will put some pressures on the market this week.  

$XLK(Technology Sector)   has been the leading sector this year.   It had been consolidating for the past 3 weeks until Thursday Aug 10th when it crossed below the  34 day ema(exponential moving average).   $XLU(Utilities Sector)  has been the leading sector for the past 2 weeks.   Institutions are parking their profits into dividend paying stocks.   Lets monitor our stock watch list and see where the institutions are deploying their cash. 

Here are some stocks I shall be monitoring this week:
  • $AMP
  • $V
  • $MA
  • $PGR
  • $VRTX
  • $RCL
  • $IPGP
  • $PETS
  • $ANET
  • $ABMD
  • $MNST
  • $RACE
  • $ASML
  • $PYPL
  • $ALGN
  • $FB
  • $BABA
  • $GRUB
  • $CDNS
  • $CBOE  

Mentoring  Program

If you would like to learn:

How I Select Winning Stocks.

How I Trade them to Outperform the Market.

Enroll in out  "Mentoring Program"

Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"  with us.

Contact us at:

investorspotlight@gmail.com


to schedule your appointment with us to see if you qualify for our program.   Learn to invest and take control of your financial future.   Your financial advisor is not doing you any favours.   They don't know how to trade or invest wisely for you.

Happy Trading!

Amin

    

     


Sunday, August 6, 2017

August  Will  Be  A  Challenging  Month

We are nearing the end of the 2nd quarter earnings season, with over  80%  of the  S@P 500 companies already having reported their earnings.   Increased sales and increased earnings is what drives the price of the Growth Stocks up.   Month of July was a stellar month for the Growth Stocks.   If you had stayed engaged with the market during one of the worst months of the year, you were able to walk away with a sizable gain to your portfolio in July.  

Why am I than cautioning my readers about the month of August?   Lets look at the data and let that drive our decision making process in the market.   Market took off soon after the elections on  Nov 9th 2016  and most of the traders were completely taken by surprise.   They missed the initial rally.   We may have a very similar situation occur in August.   I would like my readers to be able to take the advantage of the opportunity to profit if that does happen again.   Here are the results of the performance of the 3 major indexes since the   Nov 8th  "follow thru"  day: 

  1. $SPY  ... + 15.55% (+18.66% annualized)
  2. $DJI   ...  + 20.51% (+24.6%  annualized)
  3. $QQQ ... + 26.54% (+31.85% annualized)
August is also one of our poorest performing months and last year the market consolidated for 5 weeks.   We could face a very similar situation this year.   There is also the possibility that the market could correct  -5%   and  $DJI   could drop a 1,000 points.   This is in the realm of the possibilities.   $QQQ   did drop  -5%   between  6/8  and  7/6  of this year.    Utilizing trailing stops on your winning position would be the prudent thing to do this month.

Current  Market  Conditions 

There is a lot of noise in the market right now with the political rhetoric of building the wall south of our border and having a major reshuffle of the white house staff.   We r not getting any of the Presidents major agendas through the congress.   There is debt ceiling to be concerned with and who knows when Janet Yellen will start  YELLING   raise the rates ... raise the rates ... raise the rates.   All I know is data.   $DJI  keeps going up a 1,000 points every other month since the end of October  2016.   Mexican stock market is roaring and is  +28%   and  the Indian stock market is  +30%   year to date.   Price of oil is staying within  +  or  -  10%  of  $45,  depending on what happens to the price of the US dollar.   Oil is priced in US dollar.   $UUP (proxy for the price of US dollar)  is  -8.60%  for the year.   For the past 13 sessions,  $SPY,  $QQQ  and the leading Technology Sector  $XLK  has been trading tightly in a sideways pattern.   They are like coiled springs and they could pop either up or down.   The following 6 Growth Stocks (small and mid cap) etf's are also trading tightly for the past 13 sessions:

  1. $EEM
  2. $IVW
  3. $EWB
  4. $VUG
  5. $IWF
  6. $VGT
Small and mid caps have to participate in the market in order to sustain this rally.   It would worth watching these etf's and the major indexes to see where the institutions are going to be participating with their purchases.   Look over my Twitter @spotlightamin first thing on Monday morning August 7th,  for a list 22 stocks that I shall be monitoring at market open.   Some of them have surpassed their ideal buy point and may be good candidates for a conservative short term Credit Spread Option Trade.

Mentoring  Program

If you would like to learn:

How I Identify Winning Stocks Consistently and How I Trade to Outperform the Market


Enroll in our  "Mentoring Program"   There are very few limited spots left for the August classes.   Reserve your spot now.   Last quarter is traditionally the best quarter in the market.   Don't procrastinate and take control of your financial future.   Your financial advisor is not doing you any favours.   They don't know How to Trade or Invest wisely for you.

Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"   with us.  Contact us at:

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to schedule your appointment with us to see if you qualify for our program.


Happy Trading!

Amin


Sunday, July 23, 2017

Why  I  Stay  Engaged  With  The  Market

July is traditionally a weak month in the market.   Over the last 50 years, market has done just   +0.32%   on an average for the month of July.   If you listened to the media  "GURUS"  on the financial network TV, they would have said   "Sell in May and Go Away".   What do they know?   I don't consider them to be the experts.   In 2016, we had a  "Follow Thru"   day on July 1st and the  $QQQ  was + 7%  for the month.   Media  "GURUS"  were wrong and they never admitted to that.   I was on a 2 weeks transatlantic cruise in June of 2016 but I stayed engaged with the market.   It was a very frustrating experience with the internet on the cruise ship.   It was unreliable and expensive.   At times I got up at 4.00 am just to gain a reliable access to the internet to review the market and to scrutinize the stock charts.   I am glad that I stayed engaged with the market.   I was able to take positions in the stocks that were on my Watch List and profit from it handsomely as a result. 

Market  Performance  for  July 

I learnt a very good lesson last year.   There was nothing but doom and gloom in the news media last year about Brexit or Grexit and yet the market took off on July 1st for a  +7%  gain in  $QQQ.   2017 year is no different.   Mr. Trump is being investigated by  Mr. Mueller,  North Korean leader keeps firing off missiles towards Japan,  OPEC keeps soliciting its members to cut production of oil and Iran is continuing on its quest to attain a nuclear weapon.   I consider this to be the noise in the market.   It is best to just make your decisions based on the market conditions and what the stock charts reflect.   Your decisions in the market has to be driven by the data.   Everything else is noise.   Here is what the performance of the 3 major indexes and the leading Technology Sector  ($XLK)  is for the first 3 weeks of July:

  1. $DJI ...   +1.08%
  2. $SPY ...  +2.10%
  3. $QQQ ... +4.70%
  4. $XLK ...   +5.03%

Stocks  on  My  Watch  List

Last week I had identified 3 stocks that I was monitoring.   Their performance for July is highlighted below.   They have acted very well for the past 3 weeks.   I have identified their ideal pivot target prices in brackets.   According to the   IBD (Investors Business Daily)   rules,  one should only take a position in these stocks if they punch thru the pivot in volume atleast 40% above their normal daily average volume.

  1. $AMAT ...   +15.31% ($47.96)
  2. $LRCX  ...  +15.63% ($167.15)
  3. $NVDA  ... +16.28%  ($168.60) 

Mentoring  Program

If you want to learn:

How I Identify Winning Stocks Consistently and How I Trade to outperform the market


Enroll in our  "Mentoring Program"
July classes are filled.  There are just a few spots left for the August classes.   Reserve your spot now and don't procrastinate.   Learn to trade profitably with our mentoring program.

Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of   "Discovery Call"   with us.  Contact us at:

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to schedule your appointment with us to see if you qualify for our program.


Happy Trading!

Amin

Sunday, July 16, 2017

My  Market  Observations

Two weeks ago, it appeared that the institutions were rotating out of the Technology Sector and into Health Care, Transportation, or Home Builders sector.   On Friday July 14th,  $JPM,  $C  and  $WFC   reported earnings and the market did not react very favourably.   That put a dent in the Financial Sector.   Since the institutions primarily dictate the movement of the stocks, it is prudent for retail investors to monitor the stocks on their Watch List.    $CPA (Copa Airlines)  broke out on Wednesday  July 12th  in volume that was twice the normal average daily volume. Stock was being accumulated by the institutions soon after the July 4th holidays.   They favoured this stock out of all the other airlines.   Retail investors should have made the decision to follow the institutions and start accumulating this stock on Wednesday July 12th  when it punched through its resistance of   $125.78 (buy point of   $125.88  which is 10 cents above the resistance).   Volume was the confirmation signal that the retail investors should have been paying attention to.        


Market  Status

I still have a bullish bias towards the market.   Markets don't always go straight up and there is always a counter trend in a bullish trend before the market adjusts and goes back into its uptrend trajectory.   Currently,   IBD(Investors Business Daily)   has   "Market Uptrend Resumes"    as a market status.    Volume  on the major indexex ,  $SPY   n  $QQQ  is low and we generally would like to see volume higher than average daily volume when the market resumes its uptrend.   Don't let that stop you from taking a small position in the leading stocks that are in the leading sector.   Last year we had a  "Follow thru"   day on July 1st  and the market just took off for a   +10%   gain within 6 weeks.  


Stocks  to  Monitor  This  Week 

My analysis of the market performance since the beginning of July is as follows:
  1. $DJI   ...    +0.74%
  2. $SPY  ...   +1.38%
  3. $QQQ  ...  +5.93%
  4. $XLK  ...    +4.64%
$XLK (Technology Sector)  has been the leading sector during the last 2 weeks.   We are starting out with the second quarter earnings season this week.    $V, $MSFT, $SWKS   and   $NFLX  are just some of the stocks that will be in the earnings confessional booth this week.   They have been up  +4%  to  +10%   in two weeks of July,  leading up to the earnings this week.   Their earnings will propel the market up or down, depending on how the institutions react to the earnings.   These are the stocks that I plan to watch this week.   Their performance for the last 2 weeks is highlighted.  

  • $AMAT    +12.46%
  • $LRCX    + 12.93%
  • $NVDA    +18.39%    

Mentoring  Service

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Take action and learn How I do it to outperform the market.
Don't procrastinate and miss out on the rally.   $QQQ  has been up  +27%   since  July 18th 2016.   Has your portfolio done that?

Contact us at:

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Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of  "Discovery Call"   with us.   Let us show you how we select winning growth stocks and how we manage them for profit.   You can outperform the general market.  Don't invest with hedge funds n mutual funds.   Stop paying them a fee with no guarantee of profits.   Invest in yourself instead.


Happy Trading!

AMIN



Sunday, July 9, 2017

My  Market  Outlook


In my blog last week I suggested that we should take a breather during the shortened   "Independence Week"  in the market.  Every once in a while, it's best to take a break from the market and observe it from the sidelines while the institutions slug it out.  They are the elephants in the room.  They account for  80%  of the total volume of trading every day in the market.  They are the ones that set the tone of the market.  You and I as individual retail investors, should observe their behaviour and follow their lead. 

Here are some of my observations.   Since the beginning of this year, the leading index has been the    $QQQ.   The performance of this index was  +21%  from Jan 3rd to June 2nd (22 weeks).  On Friday June 9th, We had a major  "distribution day".   $QQQ   dropped by  -2.5%   in volume that was 6 times the normal average daily volume.  I found that very concerning.  We have not had such a heavy volume during a   "distribution day"   since August 24th 2015.  The index dropped down by  -4%    on that day.  Institutions have been bailing out of the $XLK (Technology Sector) in the last 4 weeks and harvesting their profits.   Since the  June 9th    "distribution day",   we know for certainty, where the institutions are deploying their harvested profits.   In the last 4 weeks, this is what the data suggests to me:

  1. $QQQ ...  - 4.10% 
  2. $XLK ...    - 4.23%   (Technology Sector)
  3. $XLF ...    +8.43%   (Financial Sector)
  4. $DJT ...    +3.89%   (Transportation Sector)
  5. $XLV ...    +2.83%   (Health Care Sector)
As Retail Investors, we should look for opportunities in the leading sectors where the institutions are rotating into after harvesting their profits in the leading technology sector of this year.

Stocks  to  Monitor  This  Week

  • $WFC
  • $JPM
  • $WFC
  • $C
  • $HDB
  • $DAL
  • $AAL
  • $LUV
  • $CPA
  • $RCL
  • $FDX
  • $AET
  • $UNH
  • $MCD
  • $PKG
  • $NVR
  • $KBH
  • $MDC
  • $TOL
  • $PHM

Mentoring  Service

Now is the perfect time to enroll in our mentoring service.  Our July and August spots are filling up fast.  Secure your mentoring spot before they fill up.  

Contact us at:

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Schedule a FREE 30 minutes of   "Discovery call"   with us.  Learn how best we can coach you and mentor you.  Let us show you how we select our winning growth stocks and how we monitor them.  You can outperform the general market.  Get rid of your hedge fund managers and invest in yourself instead.


Happy Trading!

Amin



Sunday, July 2, 2017

Independence  Week  July 4th - July 7th


July 4th is the Independence Day for us in the United States.  We will be celebrating it on Tuesday with fire works and cook outs with the family gatherings.  It's also a good time to give thanks to the markets for allowing us as traders and investors to have prospered in the first 6 months of 2017.  Following are the highlights of the performance of the major indexes for the first 6 months of 2017:
  1. $DJI ...    +8.03%
  2. $SPY ...  +8.17%
  3. $QQQ ... +16.17%

July 7th is the Independence Day for people living in Tanzania, East Africa where I grew up.  This week has a very special meaning for me personally as such. United States has been my home since 1969 and it has afforded me the opportunities to excel in my professional, business and personal life.  I am glad that I made the decision to become the citizen of United States.  I am in my element, living and working in Florida and sharing my expertise of the markets with my readers and followers.  I invest and trade Growth Stocks and I utilize IBD (Investors Business Daily) principles.  Anyone utilizing this methodology, should have been able to duplicate what the  $QQQ  index has done for the first 6 month of this year.  At this rate, one should be able to double the portfolio within 4 years. 


Market  Outlook  July 4th - July 7th


Market took the bearish turn 3 weeks ago on Friday June 9th.   $QQQ  dropped by  -2.5%   in volume that was 5 times the normal average volume.  It was concerning that most chip stocks and internet related stocks were being sold off by the institutions that day.  It took first 5 months of the year for the  $QQQ  to attain a +21%  gain.   -12%   of that gain was wiped off within one day on June 9th.  I had tweeted trailing stops the following Monday as suggestions for 38 of the winning stocks.  34 of those winning stocks were stopped out with profits.  Trailing stops enabled to capture more profits and limit the losses from institutions selling them off in the next 3 weeks.  There was sector rotation going on as of June 9th.  Institutions had parked their profits in dividend paying stocks in the  $XLU (Utilities Sector)  and   $XLP(Staples Sector)  from harvesting their profits from the   $XLK(Technology Sector).     Last week it became pretty evident with institutions deploying their harvested profits from the technology sector into  $XLV(Health Care)  and  $XLF(Financial) sectors.


Stocks  on  My  Watch  List


Currently the market conditions have worsened and we have 10  "distribution days".   This is not the time to be stepping into the market.  Personally I have gotten out of the market and have only one position  $ATHM  at  $45.05.  This would be good time to watch the market from the sidelines and conserve  CASH.   Here are the stocks in Health Care Sector that I shall be paying attention to this week.  This is a short week in the market with Monday being half a day and market closed on Tuesday.  I plan to relax and just chill this week.  I suggest that you also might want to do the same.

  • $ABBV
  • $ABMD
  • $AMGN
  • $ALGN
  • $BSX
  • $COO
  • $CELG
  • $EW
  • $GILD
  • $PRAH
  • $UNH


Happy July 4th !

Amin
    

DISCLAIMER



Do not take a position unless you are prepared to sustain a TOTAL LOSS. Your loss could include the money you invested as well as commissions and transaction charges.


The Information I provide is for education and informational purposes only. The Information provided is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice or any other advice. The Information provided is general in nature and is not specific to you or anyone else.


YOU SHOULD NOT MAKE ANY DECISION, FINANCIAL, INVESTMENTS, TRADING OR OTHERWISE, BASED ON ANY OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED WITHOUT UNDERTAKING INDEPENDENT DUE DILIGENCE AND CONSULTATION WITH A LICENSED PROFESSIONAL. You understand that you are using this Information AT YOUR OWN RISK.