Monday, May 30, 2016

Why I Am Bullish This Week


Historically May is the beginning of a 5 month slow season in the market for growth stocks. Last week however $SPY surged +2.31% and $QQQ srged +3.44% in just 5 sessions. Institutions began harvesting their profits from defensive dividend paying stocks across all the 9 SPDR sectors. Currently all these 9 sectors are trending above the 50 day sma. 50 day sma is also above the 200 day sma. Some sectors are strongly trending along the 5 day sma. This is a sign of a very bullish outlook from the institutions and I follow the institutions.

In mid Feb of this year, $SPY and $QQQ surged 5% within 5 sessions from the lows and went on to make further gains for the next 6 weeks. Very similar incident occurred in Oct 14 and Oct 15. Most traders I talk to lately are just fed up with the market just trending sideways. Some of them have just given up. Market is full of surprises and I think it is always best to keep your skills sharp and do virtual trades until an opportunity presents itself.

My Stock Watch List This Week 

  1. $EDU  ($41.22 entry) Plan 6% profit/-3% loss 
  2. $MXL  ($19.86 entry) Plan 6% profit/-3% loss
  3. $NTES ($174.55 entry) Plan 9% profit/-4% loss
  4. $AYI   ($249.77 entry) Plan 6% profit/-3% loss
  5. $FB    ($117.09 entry) Plan 6% profit/-3% loss
  6. $ALGN ($78.60 entry) plan 6% profit/-3% loss
  7. $CTXS ($85 entry) plan 6% profit/-3% loss
  8. $ZBH  ($119 entry) plan 6% profit/-3% loss
  9. $MAS  ($31.32 entry) plan 9% profit/-3% loss

Some of these stocks were on my watch list the last two weeks and orders were triggered but you can follow along with my trade plans for educational purposes. I don't expect all the orders to get filled but I caution my followers here as well as on Linkdin not to chase the trade. Most stocks do retrace to their buy points. Be patient and most of all, do your due diligence.  

Happy Trading!

Amin

Sunday, May 22, 2016

My Stock Watch List for May, 23 2016


Currently US market is choppy and not making any headway. It has been a year now since We had an all time high on all major indices $DJX/$SPY/$QQQ. We are showing signs of the end of the 7 year bull market run. Growth stocks are not making the 20% to 25% profits when they break out like they used to in 

2010/2011/2012/2013


Most IBD style CANSLIM growth stocks make a 5% move from breakouts before they start rolling over. I can understand the frustrations of holding onto such stocks. There are however opportunities in the US market to do profitable trades with growth stocks. It is best to lower your expectations for profits and most of all, trade very liquid stocks only. You are likely to not get whip sawed because of liquidity. 

I come up with a selection of stocks every week that are on my watch list and currently I plan just a 6% profit target initially. I also plan to exit the trade with a contingent stop loss order just @ -3% below the entry price. This way I preserve my trading capital. Losses will occur in stock trade if the market turns south. You have to be disciplined not to allow a -3% loss to turn into a -6% or greater.


Currently this week my stock watch list (ideal entry point indicated in parenthesis) is :

  • $AYI(243.21)
  • $ALGN(76.08)
  • $FB(117.09)
  • $MLM(178.77)
  • $ZBH(119)

I don't expect all the orders to get filled and that is OK. I always caution my followers on Tweeter (@spotlightamin)  as well as on Linkden, not to chase the trade. Most stocks do retrace to buy points. Patience is the key.

Happy Trading!


Amin

DISCLAIMER



Do not take a position unless you are prepared to sustain a TOTAL LOSS. Your loss could include the money you invested as well as commissions and transaction charges.


The Information I provide is for education and informational purposes only. The Information provided is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice or any other advice. The Information provided is general in nature and is not specific to you or anyone else.


YOU SHOULD NOT MAKE ANY DECISION, FINANCIAL, INVESTMENTS, TRADING OR OTHERWISE, BASED ON ANY OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED WITHOUT UNDERTAKING INDEPENDENT DUE DILIGENCE AND CONSULTATION WITH A LICENSED PROFESSIONAL. You understand that you are using this Information AT YOUR OWN RISK.