Retailers Reporting Earnings This Week
We are at the end of the earnings cycle with over 90% of the S&P companies already exiting the earnings confessional booth. We have retailers like $AZO, $AAP, $TIF, $WSM, $DLTR, $ANF, $BBY, $BURL, $COST, $DECK, $SIG, $ULTA and $BIG slotted to report earnings this week. Most of these companies are US centric. They have very little to no exposure to foreign markets so there isn't any currency risk. These companies are US consumer oriented. 70% of the US economy is driven by the consumer spending. Retailers such as $SHLD, $JCP, $M, $KSS, $JPN are on the decline. They have lost their market share to online company such as $AMZN. Just be prepared for a nasty surprise and be defensive this week.
Thursday May 25th i s the busiest day for some of the retailers that report earnings that day. Chances are the institutions may not react favourably to the earnings. This weekend would be a good time to look over your stock positions in Consumer Discretionary Sector and have trailing stops to protect profits in a stock, if you already have +5% or more profits in the stock. Retailers may drag down the entire sector so it is best to be prepared for it. We had a nasty distribution day in $SPY, $DJI on Wednesday May 17th where the indexes dropped below the 50 day simple moving average in volume twice the daily average volume. $QQQ however did not drop down that far but just managed to stay above the 34 day exponential moving average. Most of stocks that were highlighted on my Stock Watch List the past 4 weeks in my blog (investorspotlight.blogspot.com) with stood the carnage in the market and were trading above the 21 day exponential moving average. That is sign of strength in a stock when the general market trades below the 50 day simple moving average. I had posted on my tweeter @spotlightamin to let my followers and readers know to start being defensive and raise CASH by selling off the laggards and holding on to the winners with appropriate trailing stops.
I shall post my detailed Market Outlook and results of some of the stocks on My Watch List. Be on the look out for it over the weekend.
Happy Trading.
Amin
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